Wyndham Championship Preview and Picks

Wyndham Championship Preview and Picks

This week acts as the final week of the regular tour, with the FedEx Cup playoffs for the world’s top 125 starting next week.

Sedgefield Country Club is a Donald Ross designed, short playing, par 70 set up. Water plays a role in just five of the holes, and the course ranks as being one of the easiest on the Tour.

Last year just eight courses played easier than Sedgefield. The par score here last year across the field was -1.82, and all but three of the top 50 finished on a score of -10 or lower. Expect a shootout with the winner ultimately shooting scores in the low 60s.

The front nine is far easier to score on, so a quick start is required and players who do post low scores on the front nine are likely to dominate the final leaderboard.

The Wyndham Field

As you would expect, the field this week is nowhere near as strong as we saw at TPC Harding Park last week.

Despite going off favorite for the USPGA with some books, Brooks Koepka does not start as the favorite here this week. The course does not typically suit his game, and at +1100 he is short enough to be dismissed here. 

Favoritism instead goes to Webb Simpson. The one-time major winner is the +1000 favorite and has very good course form at Sedgefield, being a past winner in 2011. Other players at the head of the market include Patrick Reed, Tommy Fleetwood, last week's runner-up Paul Casey, and Harris English.

Reed finished well last week, and Paul Casey ended the week in second position. Fleetwood looked set to contend before falling away Sunday, so those three players are in good form.

Another player who is in excellent form is Brendon Todd (+4000 at William Hill). Todd has been a regular on leaderboards in recent weeks and should be considered again here this week.

Collin Morikawa sits out, safe in the knowledge that his place in the FedEx is well and truly secured. His win last week has propelled him to superstar status on Tour.

Our Picks

Our main selection this week is Harris English (+2500). He finished in 19th spot last week in the USPGA and has now secured a top 20 finish in seven of his last eight starts.

Harris English

His final round of 66 last week in San Francisco was excellent. He has shown excellent recent form despite testing positive for Covid-19 just a matter of weeks ago.

That positive test saw English having to play his tournament golf either as a one ball, or with other Covid-19 linked golfers. This cannot have been easy, so he will be thrilled to return to the Tour proper this week. 

English has shown he has an eye for Sedgefield – an 11th placed finish here just two years ago helped him secure his card for last year. Despite not yet hitting the heights he hit in 2013 - when he won twice on Tour - he has shown that he does possess the game to do so once again.

English has an all-round game that suits the Sedgefield layout well. He currently ranks 14th on Tour for putting, 36th in approach play, and 19th from tee to green. If his putter is firing well this week, then he should certainly feature on the leaderboard. 

He has not missed the cut at the Wyndham for six years and in that time frame has managed to post two top-11 finishes. With many of the top Tour players sitting out, English can take this opportunity to bag another PGA win. At the prices available he looks to be an excellent value play. 

Kevin Kisner

Courses with form that translates well from Sedgefield include Hilton Head, East Lake, and Waialae. All are relatively short layouts, and Kevin Kisner has superb form in the books at all three venues.

He has finished runner up at Hilton Head, third at East Lake, and has multiple top 5 finishes in Hawaii. Despite TPC Harding Park not being the sort of course where Kisner thrives, he managed to secure a top 20 finish there in the PGA.

He finished seventh last week in putting statistics, and with this course laid out for a low score, it is likely on the greens where the event will be won. 

If Kisner can replicate his putting form from last week then he is set to contend here at Sedgefield. Kisner has not played here since 2017, where he finished in 42nd place – but he was not in great form at that time – and his previous two visits here saw him finish in 10th and 8th place respectively. 

Conclusion

Our two selections this week, Harris English and Kevin Kisner are both value plays in a field where most of the world’s top ten take the week off.

Brooks Koepka and Webb Simpson currently dispute favoritism – but both look very short prices.

Koepka has traditionally not performed well in weaker field events, and his fourth round at TPC Harding Park was worrying.

English and Kisner both have positive course form, and have also performed well at other Donald Ross layouts. Both men are fancied to go well this week.


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